Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 22.864605 25.957313 29.335365 33.302414 37.838101 42.867352 48.874022
2025-01-19 17.687746 21.744293 26.556991 32.702412 40.362673 49.624513 61.714913
2025-01-26 15.030637 19.714219 25.658846 33.791445 44.681803 58.836987 78.754048
2025-02-02 13.331432 18.463764 25.359400 35.361704 49.601361 69.297681 98.871689
2025-02-09 11.723807 17.009890 24.466731 35.842486 52.919243 77.854476 117.489055
2025-02-16 10.149682 15.332511 22.960381 35.121854 54.248893 83.546209 132.531025
2025-02-23 8.923123 13.977150 21.704802 34.526683 55.563777 89.223113 148.172662
2025-03-02 7.948943 12.870132 20.662004 34.072935 56.951847 95.066279 164.761447
2025-03-09 7.220841 12.057292 19.968615 34.060713 58.999890 102.160074 184.376972
2025-03-16 6.579709 11.305989 19.275155 33.932912 60.780464 108.938474 204.289790
2025-03-23 6.252122 11.048032 19.378251 35.190424 65.150334 120.829144 235.382325
2025-03-30 5.800525 10.516610 18.934686 35.384459 67.544215 129.308080 261.002578
2025-04-06 5.221317 9.707298 17.931547 34.467939 67.810940 133.962398 280.104290
2025-04-13 4.769797 9.088426 17.215896 34.022563 68.957575 140.529816 304.310031
2025-04-20 4.562301 8.913892 17.325625 35.227868 73.623496 154.936292 347.913189
2025-04-27 4.420662 8.851829 17.645149 36.896508 79.480037 172.667103 401.976094
2025-05-04 4.171443 8.543783 17.432935 37.410089 82.882560 185.473000 446.599429
2025-05-11 3.828289 8.004058 16.683051 36.660292 83.342424 191.656460 476.083014
2025-05-18 3.531779 7.532488 16.027120 36.039169 84.011544 198.403193 508.090922
2025-05-25 3.276543 7.124299 15.465420 35.565049 84.962785 205.945821 543.432289
2025-06-01 3.080605 6.827513 15.118839 35.552477 87.033182 216.531041 588.771222
2025-06-08 2.892913 6.530482 14.740911 35.418861 88.781339 226.535783 634.238008
2025-06-15 2.818638 6.487409 14.943377 36.734487 94.421363 247.501092 714.898488